In accordance with the (EnWG), the German NRA must submit a report to the Federal Government every two years on the status and development of security of supply in the area of electricity supply.

As an essential basis for the 2022 report, Consentec, in cooperation with the IER of the University of Stuttgart and the FfE, supported the Federal Network Agency with an expert assessment that examined both the security of supply in the area of the demand-oriented supply of electricity (resource adequacy) and in the area of the secure transmission of electricity (transmission adequacy).

The methodological approach was based on the requirements of the for so-called “Resource Adequacy Assessments”. In particular, the rational investment and disinvestment behaviour of players on electricity markets is modelled. Expected values and distributions for the key security of supply indicators LOLE (Loss of Load Expectation) and EENS (Expected Energy Not Served) are then determined as part of a Monte-Carlo-Simulation covering 3150 years, which models the uncertainties of weather data and the availability of generation plants in particular. Detailed analyses also make it possible, among other things, to determine the import requirements necessary to guarantee security of supply.